StatSheet Projects Florida as NCAA Tournament Three Seed: 02/12/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 12th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Florida as a three seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Gators are the #8 team in the AP Poll and sit at #14 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 19-6 overall record and a 7-3 record in the SEC.

During the last four games, Florida registered a quality win against RPI #24 Vanderbilt and a win against South Carolina but also suffered a loss to AP #1 Kentucky and a bad loss to RPI #107 Tennessee.

Florida is stable against strong competition, with a 7-3 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 3-3 record against the RPI Top 50 but a 2-3 record against AP ranked teams. While the Gators have three quality wins including RPI #24 Vanderbilt, AP #20 Mississippi State, and AP #15 Florida State, they're weighed down by three bad losses including RPI #107 Tennessee (2 losses) and RPI #145 Rutgers.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Ole Miss (15-9, 5-5 SEC, StatRank #53), Arkansas (17-8, 5-5 SEC, StatRank #63), Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #57), and Texas (16-9, 6-6 Big 12, StatRank #48).

The first four teams out are Colorado (17-8, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #67), Minnesota (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten, StatRank #66), Oregon (18-7, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #68), and St. Joseph's (PA) (16-10, 6-5 A-10, StatRank #49).

The next four out are Brigham Young (21-6, 9-3 West Coast, StatRank #49), Iona (19-6, 11-3 MAAC, StatRank #54), South Florida (15-10, 8-4 Big East, StatRank #60), and Xavier (16-9, 7-4 A-10, StatRank #56).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Florida
#4Florida State
#5Indiana
#6Louisville
#7Connecticut
#8Gonzaga
#9Alabama
#10Iowa State
#11Memphis
#12Colorado State
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Duke
#3Georgetown
#4Michigan
#5San Diego State
#6Mississippi State
#7Creighton
#8Northwestern
#9California
#10Miami (FL)
#11New Mexico
#12Kansas State
#13Ole Miss
#14Long Beach State
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Marquette
#4UNLV
#5Virginia
#6Murray State
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Harvard
#10Notre Dame
#11NC State
#12MTSU
#13Oral Roberts
#14Nevada
#15Loyola (MD)
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Michigan State
#4Southern Miss
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Wichita State
#8Vanderbilt
#9Illinois
#10Saint Louis
#11West Virginia
#12Texas
#13Purdue
#14VCU
#15Weber State
#16Valparaiso
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten8 1266.7%
Big East8 1650.0%
SEC7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Pac 121 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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SEC Standings

OverallConf
1 Kentucky 38-2 16-0
 2Florida 26-11 10-6
2 Vanderbilt 25-11 10-6
2 Tennessee 19-15 10-6
5 Alabama 21-12 9-7
6 MState 21-12 8-8
6 Ole Miss 20-14 8-8
8 LSU 18-15 7-9
9 Arkansas 18-14 6-10
10 Auburn 15-16 5-11
10 Georgia 15-17 5-11
12 South Carolina 10-21 2-14
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#23 Bradley Beal Fr G 6-3 207
#1 Kenny Boynton Jr G 6-2 189
#0 Jacob Kurtz Fr G 6-5 195
#34 Cody Larson Fr F/C 6-9 231
#33 Erik Murphy Jr F/C 6-10 230
#35 W. Pitchford V Fr F 6-10 221
#24 Casey Prather So G/F 6-6 212
#3 Mike Rosario Jr G 6-3 191
#11 Erving Walker Sr G 5-8 177
#5 S. Wilbekin So G 6-2 178
#15 Will Yeguete So F 6-7 222
#4 Patric Young So F/C 6-9 247